Trendlines
Seasonality returned to the market last week as retailers and food distributors pushed to move freight ahead of July 4 celebrations. Shippers typically preposition freight around the country during the last two weeks leading up to the holiday and use the spot market to move urgent or “exception” freight, as indicated in the 4.5% increase in load posts.
Dry van load-post volume was up 17% last week and the national average van load-to-truck ratio was 6.4%, up from 5.2% the previous week. The load-to-truck ratio is a measure of the number of available loads on the DAT network relative to the number of available trucks and is a simple indicator of capacity supply and demand.
Reefer load post volume increased 20% week-over-week and the national average reefer load-to-truck ratio was 14.2%, up from 11.1% the previous week. Overall, the number of truckloads of produce moved is down about 20% year-over-year, or 8,200 fewer loads of produce per week in 2021, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Flatbed load post volume was 8% lower last week and is down 24% over the last month. Indeed, flatbed volume has been softening for the last nine weeks. The national average flatbed load-to-truck ratio fell 8% from 65.5% to 60.6.
Lanes to watch
Spot van: Los Angeles to Phoenix van rates averaged $4.44 per mile excluding a fuel surcharge. The 372-mile run is up 12 cents per mile week-over-week and $1.42 per mile since February. Phoenix is a fast-growing market for large warehouses.
Spot van: Vans from Atlanta to Orlando averaged $3.89 per mile excluding fuel, a record for the 440-mile lane. The average spot van rate is now up $1.08 per mile since February.
Spot flatbed: Houston to Lubbock, Texas, in the Permian Basin is the highest-volume lane for spot-market flatbed loads moved each year. The average rate was $3.73 per mile, up $2.04 year-over-year. The Baker Hughes drilling rig count in Texas stands at 221, more than double this time last year. Volume on this lane is driven by drill pipe, casings, and related products being hauled west.
Spot reefer: Loads from Laredo, Texas, to Atlanta averaged $3.07 a mile this week and have been climbing steadily since May 2020 when they were just $1.91 a mile. That’s a 60% increase year-over-year.